Summary
Wraps daily geopolitical risk data into three MCP tools: get_conflict_risks returns escalation probabilities across six regions (Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel, China-Taiwan, etc.) with 1/7/30-day horizons, get_political_events surfaces high-impact political and economic events with probability estimates, and get_maritime_traffic is currently suspended due to AIS data quality issues. Each conflict includes structured risk breakdowns by event type (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with directional indicators and probability deltas versus seven days prior. The data updates daily from proprietary modeling with roughly 24-hour latency. Reach for this when you need structured geopolitical risk inputs for trading agents, portfolio hedging logic, or dynamic protocol parameters that respond to conflict probability shifts instead of parsing news headlines yourself.
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Futuristic Risk Intelligence — MCP Server & Data Feed
Geopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via Model Context Protocol (MCP). Updated daily.
MCP Tools
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
get_conflict_risks | Risk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons |
get_political_events | High-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates |
get_maritime_traffic | ⚠️ Suspended — AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns status: unavailable. |
Install
pip install war-dashboard-data
Quick Start
Claude Desktop
Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:
{
"mcpServers": {
"futuristic-risk": {
"command": "war-dashboard-data"
}
}
}
Then ask Claude: "What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?"
Direct API (REST)
curl https://raw.githubusercontent.com/cct15/war-dashboard-data/main/conflicts.json
Coverage
6 conflict regions: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America
5 event types with clear risk direction:
| Event Type | Meaning | Direction |
|---|---|---|
escalation | Military escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test) | risk_increase |
ceasefire | Ceasefire or peace agreement reached | risk_decrease |
ceasefire_cancel | Existing ceasefire breaks down | risk_increase |
regime_change | Government falls or changes | risk_increase |
diplomatic | Major diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty) | neutral |
Data Schema
conflicts.json
Each conflict includes:
| Field | Description |
|---|---|
conflict_id | Region identifier (e.g. russia_ukraine, iran_israel_us) |
importance | Editorial priority: high (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or low (low probability, included for data completeness) |
risk_level | Overall risk: high / medium / low |
probability_30d / 7d / 1d | P(event occurs within time horizon) |
situation_briefing | Daily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news |
risk_impact | Structured impact analysis: industries[], assets[], channels[] (transmission paths) |
risk_events[] | Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities |
risk_events[].direction | risk_increase (higher prob = more danger) or risk_decrease (higher prob = less danger) |
risk_events[].change_vs_7d_ago | Probability delta vs. 7 days ago |
data_points | Number of data sources (for confidence assessment) |
anomaly_detected | Whether probability diverges from news intensity |
political_events.json
Political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.
| Field | Description |
|---|---|
event_summary | Event description (Chinese) |
event_summary_en | Event description (English) |
category | political / economic / natural_disaster |
probability | Estimated probability of occurrence |
importance | Editorial priority: high (recommended for display) or low (data completeness) |
deadline | Event deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable |
data_confidence | high / medium / low (based on trading volume) |
importance field
Both conflicts.json and political_events.json include an importance field:
high— Editorially recommended. Active conflicts, high-probability events, or events with significant recent changes. Matches the daily intelligence report's display filter.low— Included for data completeness. Low probability, no active events, or not a current focus area. Agents may still find these useful for comprehensive monitoring.
maritime.json
⚠️ Suspended: Free AIS data (45-second snapshots) produces sporadic zero-vessel readings in busy straits, which could mislead agents into inferring blockades. Returns {"status": "unavailable", "zones": []}. Will resume when a reliable AIS source is found.
Use Cases
- Trading agents: Adjust crypto/commodity positions based on geopolitical risk changes
- Risk management: Monitor conflict escalation probabilities for portfolio hedging
- DeFi protocols: Dynamic collateral ratios based on geopolitical risk
- Research agents: Track probability trends across 6 conflict regions
- News agents: Get structured risk data instead of parsing headlines
Technical Details
- Zero dependencies: MCP server uses only Python stdlib (works with Python 3.9+)
- Data source: Proprietary multi-source modeling
- Update frequency: Daily
- Latency: Public data has ~24h delay
License
Data is free for non-commercial use. Contact for commercial licensing.
Website & Research
futuristicrisks.com — Live risk dashboard, cascade impact analysis, daily verified intelligence, and API documentation.
Research articles:
Built by Futuristic Risk Intelligence.
Featured
Keep your Mac awake while Claude Code and 40+ AI agents run. Sleeps when they're idle.
One time payment $9 →Integrate web data into your AI product. One API to scrape website & brand data.
Get API Key Now →Agent, run crypto. Access onchain data & trade routes via 1inch.
Install now →On Capafy, your Skill runs online 24/7 as an agent product, and you get paid every time someone uses it.
Start earning →Categories
Registryactive
Packagewar-dashboard-data
TransportSTDIO
UpdatedMar 26, 2026
